Monday, June 28, 2010

Into the abyss

Busy weekend, lot of stuff happening, unfortunately that's the last time we'll be able to say that for quite a while.  The month of July is the depths of the sports abyss, following the NBA and NHL drafts, and prior to the beginning of meaningful MLB games, it's just a long, slow grind until NFL training camps open.  I might actually have to get a life for a couple of weeks, oh the horror.

The double draft days of the past week were kind of exciting, but at the same time depressing, because when draft day is the most important day on the calendar, that means your team sucks ass.  I can't even remember when it wasn't the most important day on the Timberwolves calendar, and now the Wild have joined them.  Both teams seem destined to continue this trend next year.  It's almost enough to make me long for the sky-high expectations and brutal letdowns of a typical Vikings season...almost.

The Wolves continued their perplexing assembly of a "foundation" this past weekend as if the NBA were a fantasy league with a couple of flex positions.  The current plan appears to be obtaining players who will ensure a higher pick next year.  No real problem with their selection of Wesley Johnson from Syracuse, but trading away their second pick for the highly average Martell Webster was confusing.  I get that they might not have liked the options available to them at the #16 spot, but part of being a rebuilding team is having the freedom to gamble on raw prospects, giving them minutes to develop their game that more established teams can't spare. 

The point is probably moot, since no player that was attainable was going to change the situation this year, but if there's a big picture here, I'm missing it.  A year after drafting 4 point guards in the first round, the Wolves used their #4 pick on a small forward who's a solid shooter and defender with limited ability to get his own shot.  They then traded the #16 pick and Ryan Gomes (another average forward) for a small forward who's a solid shooter and defender with limited ability to get his own shot.  GM David Kahn may love Webster's game, but it's tough to tell why; the stats aren't there and he's certainly not the slashing-type shot creator that the team seems to be lacking. If the guy was coming off a rookie season where he showed promise, this would make more sense, but after 4 years in the league, he probably is what he's going to be the rest of the way.

Obviously it's dangerous to run a team with an eye toward popular opinion, but maybe keeping some guys with youth and potential, rather than trading them for established stiffs, would lessen the fan apathy toward this team?  Two years into his tenure, the KahnMan has turned 7 first round picks into not much.  The only buzz created was from the Rubio pick last season, and that has pretty much subsided.  At this point, the casual fan is going to need to be reminded who he is when (if?) he finally shows up.  They're also going to need an explanation on who is going to carry the scoring load, given the front office's apparently allergy to shooting guards.  Rubio may be an assist wizard, but it's never been a secret he can't shoot; current situation seems like a receipe for a lot of pretty passes followed by bricked shots.

So in general, I'm confused and a bit frustrated.  Adding to the frustration was the fact that the guy I really wanted at SG, James Anderson, was drafted by San Antonio at #20.  Always nice when one of the best college players gets undervalued because he doesn't have the potential offered by less productive players, then is snatched up by the team with the league's best track record of recognizing late first-round value.  I will remember to bring this up in 2 years when Anderson is averaging 20 PPG.

On the other side of the coin is the Minnesota Wild, who have a very clear and consistent philosophy over the years: Acquire the entire Finnish National Team.  Joining Mikko Koivu, Antti Miettinen and Nicklas Backstrom (in a couple of years at least) is Finland center Mikael Granlund, a playmaking center who's supposedly more NHL ready than many other first rounders.  Not the end of the world to draft another Euro, as it was at a position of need and the early run on forwards left things paired down, but geez is this team in love with Finnish players. 

When it comes to European hockey playuers, I tend to share the opinion of NHL GM Brian Burke, the architect of the Anaheim Ducks multiple Stanley Cup teams in the 2000s.  Burke favored North American players because they grew up dreaming of winning the Stanley Cup, and playing a more rugged style.  The Ducks two Cup-winning teams were built on size and toughness, with Ryan Getzlaf, Corey Perry, Scott Niedermeyer and Chris Pronger anchoring a nasty group of players who ground opponents down.  Looking back through history, this seems to be the norm in the playoffs; when things get nasty, North American players flourish as European players fold. 

There are of course exceptions, namely the Detroit Red Wings core of Datsyuk, Zetterberg, Franzen and Lidstrom, but in general, the best players on most Cup winners are from this side of the Atlantic.  The Wild's playoff no-shows have had several root causes, and certainly not all can be traced back to the presence of Euros as the team's top players.  But when you already have two as your top forwards and one in net, adding another seems like overkill to me.  Just my opinion of course, and certainly hope it's proven wrong.

Silver lining to the draft by the way is the selection of Jason Zucker in the 2nd round.  He might be a bit on the small side at 5'10" / 175, but after watching his play on the gold-medal winning US national team in last year's World Junior Championships, I think this guy could be a great add.  Very quick with a knack for putting the puck in the net.  Plus he'll be a freshman at the University of Denver next season, so us college hockey fans will get to watch his development over the next couple of seasons.  Unfortunate that he will be playing for the hated Pioneers, but you can't have everything.

Finally, the US soccer team lost to Ghana on Saturday, a country with slightly fewer people than the state of Texas.  Thus ends another World Cup "run" in the first game of the knockout stage, basically no better or worse than was expected.  I'm happy that the soccer fans got their moment last week on the big goal to advance the team past pool play, but the whole deal strikes me as kind of "meh".  The US team was about two minutes short of heading home after 3 tie games, which would've been the most boring result possible.  It's nice they advanced further, and I did enjoy Saturday's game, but just don't see soccer moving past it's status with me as a novelty every 4th year.

5 comments:

  1. Thank you for not jumping on the band wagon that most all Timberwolves fans seem to be on pre and post draft....The ever popular Demarcus Cousins bandwagon. I am so sick of hearing how he is going to be the next great C in the NBA. He is a head case. A head case on a team that does not have a player on it's roster over the age of 26 does not seem like a good idea to me.
    I was sitting here watching the draft getting angry and confused on draft night. After letting it sink in a little bit I calmed down (as I usually do after every draft).
    I sort of see what they are trying to do. They are trying to build the team around a player who has never suited up for the wolves. They are trying to get shooters and let Rubio set up everything. This is risky to say the least, and Rubio better be as good as hyped or this will fail badly. But it's the only shot they have.
    Webster does have 5 years in the league, but he is still only 23 years old and has some upside.
    I am not saying that you should get ready for a deep playoff run in 2012 but I see at least some sort of a plan.

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  2. I don't see the plan, not at all. I'm not killing them on Cousins because I didn't think he'd play here, or at least be pissed off the whole time he did. His refusal to work out here was a clear signal that he was not interested in Minnesota, after watching OJ Mayo and Ricky Rubio pull the same thing the last two seasons, I just wanted a guy who was happy to be a part of this team. Sad we need to consider something other winning basketball games when we pick, but such is the reality of today's NBA. One of the major reasons it's tough to get fired up about this league if you're a Minnesota fan, there's a degree of difficulty to everything.

    Shooters are nice, but we need a scorer, somebody who can actually get to the hoop and create on his own. Rubio might be great at getting into the lane and dishing, but number one, the shooters on this team are only good (not great), and number two, his lack of anything resembling an NBA jumper will have teams playing 5 feet off him. Saw this happen a lot with Rajon Rondo in the playoffs, and with no one on the Wolves roster capable of picking up the slack, I don't see his initial impact being as good as everyone else seems to think it will be. Plus I'm still not 100% certain he will ever actually play here, not until I see it.

    Name me one guy on the Wolves roster who's worthy of cleaing out for so he can get his own shot, and I will change my opinion, until then, we need a damn two guard.

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  3. I am not saying this is a good team yet by any means. But, for the first time in many years, they are young and have talent that CAN develop. Will it? I don't know. But it is still a step forward for this turribul franchise. They are already a far more atheletic and better shooting team than they were last year.

    "Cleaning out": right now, you have to go with Jonny Flynn. He can get to the rack. And say what you will, Wes and Webster are much more likely to make defenders respect the outside shot than Damien Wilkens and Sasha Pavlovic, giving the little man at least a better shot of finishing than last year.

    And no, Ricky will probably not remind anyone of Reggie Miller at this point in his career with his shooting, but I would be willing to be that Reggie Miller didn't remind anyone of Reggie Miller at 19. That being said, Ricky did shoot over 42% from 3 last year and his shooting looks to be a bit underated.

    Will he play in the cities? I believe he will. But it is the Timberwolves and it is Minnesota sports, so we will see.

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  4. Note:

    Every year at this time I become over optimistic about my wolves. I then give up after game 15 of the regular season.
    Thinking about it, I am starting to realize why I am the only Wolves fan I know.

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  5. The #16 pick plus Gomes was a way to create a roster spot for the two centers. Not that I agree with it, but that is the strategy I think. Gomes will not be missed, and while your point on Anderson is a good one, probably not better than Webster anytime soon. It's more of a non-event than anything to fret about. Defense was horrendous last year, Webster will help there.

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